Articles
The New Brexit Reality
Only the Conservatives had an implementable plan going into the last election and the success of opposition parties was due to spoiler tactics not to their potential as functioning alternatives. Many of the drivers for dysfunction in UK politics are part of...
Where Does Brazil Go From Here
The corruption scandals in Brazil have gone beyond any attempt to localize the disruption and now seem to indict the entire political class. Strong institutions are needed but even the judiciary seems to be losing public support as its role is inevitably politicized....
UK Election Uncertainty
Our analysis is split into two parts - What happened in the UK and How will this impact on Brexit talks. The electorate voted based on many different issues but has not given a mandate to pursue Hard Brexit, hence, it could have given the Conservatives an impossible...
The B in Brics
The Brics moniker was most associated with a pre-financial crisis bull market and has reduced in use since 2007. We believe that, while it is a blunt instrument, it still has explanatory power when describing many societal ills in Brazil, Russia, India and China....
European Yes Minister
Recent events in the Brexit negotiations have reduced our probability of a deal being achieved to 50:50. The recent book by former Greek finance minister Varoufakis shows the detail behind many of the processes used by the EU to gain an advantage in talks. Keeping to...
Europe Unveiled
The new Varoufakis book tells tales and names names. The somewhat cynical participation of many big names in world economics/politics shows how bad outcomes can be rationalised in a piecemeal fashion. Macron stands out as the great hope for the European project but...