Articles 

External Influences

Having looked at many internal cognitive biases that impact on investment decisions we now analyse external factors. Weather has a well-documented impact on market prices, albeit short-term, while remaining outside of human control. The insertion of cultural symbols...

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How to Create a Bubble

In order to demonstrate how easily a bubble can now be inflated we review a theoretical process for artificially creating one. Inception involves creating something that sticks in the memory and is then manipulated to trigger multiple biases. The aim is to get emotion...

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Bubbles Are Not All Bad

Behavioural Economics is not just about defining biases and naming them, it is concerned with generating greater understanding of decision-making and improving outcomes. Information overload promotes the use of biases and heuristics but this might not be a bad thing,...

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Defining an Economic Bubble

Traditional definitions of a bubble point to divergence between market prices and intrinsic value but the usefulness of this is limited by the perennial problem of estimating underlying value. We believe that a better description is where mass irrational action cannot...

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Optimism and Fear of Loss Biases

Biases of all sorts are basic human instincts but these can generate negative investment outcomes unless mitigation strategies are in place. A poisonous cocktail often includes: optimism bias, fear of loss bias and fear of missing out bias. Using a rational and...

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Default Options and Nudge Theory

Cognitive biases inform decisions made every day. When nudging clients towards outcomes favoured by programme creators simple rules should be applied - 1) forcing people to make choices allows them to 'own' the consequences; 2) binary or limited choice decisions reach...

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